Skip to main content

Table 2 Linear regressions of changes in employment status on trade variables and individual characteristics

From: International trade and unemployment: towards an investigation of the Swiss case

Dependent variable: change in employment status

 

No trade covariates

Trade levels

Trade levels, lagged

Trade first diff.

Trade first diff., lagged

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

Trade covariates

 Imports

 

0.012

0.010

0.006

0.025

 

(0.019)

(0.019)

(0.028)

(0.027)

 Exports

 

− 0.001

− 0.002

0.013

− 0.014

 

(0.019)

(0.019)

(0.030)

(0.025)

 Imports*low-skilled

 

0.017**

0.016**

− 0.002

− 0.002

 

(0.008)

(0.007)

(0.060)

(0.042)

 Imports*medium-skilled

 

0.002

0.001

0.007

− 0.027

 

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.036)

(0.024)

 Exports*low-skilled

 

− 0.011*

− 0.011*

− 0.004

− 0.009

 

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.064)

(0.028)

 Exports*medium-skilled

 

− 0.002

− 0.001

− 0.009

0.012

 

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.029)

(0.024)

Industry characteristics

 ICT intensive

− 0.005

0.001

0.002

− 0.006

− 0.009

(0.023)

(0.026)

(0.027)

(0.023)

(0.012)

 ICT intensive*low-skilled

− 0.001

0.000

0.000

− 0.001

− 0.001

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.008)

 ICT intensive*medium-skilled

− 0.000

0.000

0.000

− 0.000

0.000

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.004)

(0.005)

 GAV

− 0.015

− 0.021

− 0.013

− 0.016

− 0.011

(0.019)

(0.044)

(0.044)

(0.019)

(0.017)

 GAV*low-skilled

0.009

0.012*

0.012*

0.009

0.009

(0.006)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.006)

(0.006)

 GAV*medium-skilled

0.002

0.002

0.002

0.001

0.001

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

Worker and job characteristics

 Low-skilled

0.013**

− 0.000

0.001

0.013*

0.014**

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.008)

(0.007)

 Medium-skilled

0.006**

0.006

0.007

0.006*

0.007**

(0.003)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.004)

(0.003)

 Foreigner

0.010**

0.010**

0.010**

0.010**

0.010**

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

 Age

− 0.003**

− 0.003**

− 0.003**

− 0.004**

− 0.004**

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

 Age^2

0.000***

0.000***

0.000***

0.000***

0.000***

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

(0.000)

 Female

0.001

0.001

0.001

0.001

0.001

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.004)

 Married

− 0.009***

− 0.009***

− 0.009***

− 0.008***

− 0.008***

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

 Widowed

− 0.019**

− 0.019**

− 0.019**

− 0.018**

− 0.018**

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.007)

 Separated

0.007**

0.007**

0.008**

0.008**

0.008**

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

(0.004)

 Part-time worker

0.012**

0.011**

0.011**

0.012**

0.012**

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

 Temporary worker

0.113***

0.113***

0.112***

0.113***

0.113***

(0.030)

(0.030)

(0.030)

(0.030)

(0.030)

 Short tenure (< 1 year)

0.202***

0.202***

0.206***

0.205***

0.205***

(0.048)

(0.048)

(0.049)

(0.049)

(0.049)

 Medium tenure (1 to < 5 years)

0.017***

0.017***

0.017***

0.017***

0.017***

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.006)

 Constant

0.478*

0.457*

0.496*

0.080**

0.078**

(0.267)

(0.270)

(0.283)

(0.039)

(0.039)

 Number of observations

20,928

20,928

20,895

20,878

20,866

 Adjusted R2

0.086

0.086

0.088

0.089

0.087

  1. Note: All regressions including year and industry fixed effects
  2. Source: Panel data set constructed using data from FOS (2009a), EZV (2009), KOF (2005) and FOS (2009b)
  3. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01