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Table 4 Zero-stage regression: exchange rate returns

From: The Swiss franc safety premium

 

USD Index

CHF Index

EUR/CHF

â–³et+1

All

All

T<1999

T≥1999

All

T<1999

T≥1999

\(r^{*}_{f,t+1}-r_{f,t+1}\)

0.147

5.447***

5.118***

7.750***

2.910*

2.419*

6.102*

 

[0.820]

[1.326]

[1.848]

[2.818]

[1.507]

[1.365]

[3.503]

â–³e t

0.137***

−0.113

0.060

−0.249**

−0.110*

0.008

−0.187***

 

[0.049]

[0.087]

[0.066]

[0.103]

[0.062]

[0.081]

[0.068]

Cons

0.001

−0.010***

−0.010**

−0.012***

−0.006***

−0.006*

−0.010**

 

[0.001]

[0.002]

[0.004]

[0.004]

[0.002]

[0.003]

[0.004]

R2

0.019

0.054

0.062

0.089

0.028

0.018

0.055

  1. Notes: This table reports the results of regressing the exchange rate return on the interest rate differential and the lagged equity return (see Eq. (7)). The parameters are estimated by OLS using Newey-West standard errors with maximum lag order set equal to T1/2. The number of observations is 259 for the full sample, 107 for the first subsample and 152 for the second subsample. The standard errors are reported in square brackets
  2. ***, **, * denote significance levels of 1, 5, and 10%, respectively