Skip to main content

Table 9 GARCH - constant price of risk

From: The Swiss franc safety premium

 

USD index

CHF index

EUR/CHF

\(xr^{c}_{t+1}\)

All

All

T≥1999

All

T≥1999

σ c,m,t+1

6.150

3.758

10.168

2.208

3.482

 

[6.038]

[10.560]

[6.896]

[11.767]

[3.192]

Cons

0.000

−0.000

−0.002

0.001

0.001

 

[0.001]

[0.002]

[0.002]

[0.002]

[0.001]

  1. Notes: This table reports the quasi-maximum likelihood estimates for the currency excess returns mean equation of the DCC MGARCH model for the case of no time variation in the price of risk: \(xr^{c}_{t+1} = \gamma ^{c}_{0} + \gamma ^{c}_{1} \sigma _{c,m,t+1} + u^{c}_{t+1}\). \(xr^{c}_{t+1}\) corresponds to the excess return of investing abroad, σc,m,t+1 is the conditional covariance between currency returns and home market portfolio returns, and \(\gamma ^{c}_{1}\) corresponds to the price of currency risk. For details and the complete results table see the Additional file 1. Robust standard errors are reported in square brackets
  2. ***, **, * denote significance levels of 1, 5, and 10%, respectively