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Table 2 Alternative specification

From: Term structure dynamics at low and negative interest rates—evidence from Switzerland

ΔRt = gov. bond yields

2 years

5 years

7 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

\( \Delta r_{t} \times (r_{t-1}-\bar {r}_{t-1})\)

− 0.002

− 0.079*

− 0.089*

− 0.086*

− 0.069

− 0.094**

 

(0.044)

(0.037)

(0.035)

(0.037)

(0.037)

(0.033)

Δ r t

0.353***

0.417***

0.427***

0.343***

0.345***

0.328***

 

(0.071)

(0.069)

(0.067)

(0.066)

(0.065)

(0.063)

\((r_{t-1}-\bar {r}_{t-1}) \)

− 0.001

− 0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Constant

0.001

− 0.000

0.000

− 0.000

− 0.000

− 0.000

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

No. of obs.

3118

3123

3046

3114

3098

2948

R 2

0.073

0.077

0.078

0.044

0.051

0.035

  1. Robust standard errors in parentheses
  2. Statistical significance indicated with *** if p<0.001, ** if p<0.01 and * if p<0.05
  3. rt denotes the Swiss franc 3-month OIS
  4. \(\bar {r}\) denotes the all-time observed lower bound in central bank policy interest rates