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Table 3 Robustness: additional control variables

From: Term structure dynamics at low and negative interest rates—evidence from Switzerland

ΔRt = gov. bond yields

2 years

5 years

7 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

Reference period

      

0.318

0.306***

0.299***

0.166*

0.212*

0.097

 

(0.182)

(0.092)

(0.078)

(0.08)

(0.088)

(0.06)

0.363***

0.239**

0.239***

0.190**

0.218**

0.153**

 

(0.093)

(0.078)

(0.062)

(0.07)

(0.071)

(0.056)

 Constant

0.000

− 0.001

0.000

0.000

0.001

0.000

 

(0.002)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

 No. of obs.

1238

1241

1241

1241

1235

1111

R2

0.074

0.102

0.111

0.048

0.075

0.039

H0: p-value

0.840

0.617

0.590

0.841

0.963

0.531

ZLB period

      

0.704***

0.779***

0.788***

0.788***

0.686**

0.466*

 

(0.149)

(0.197)

(0.183)

(0.194)

(0.217)

(0.234)

0.318

0.464**

0.295

0.326

0.192

0.321

 

(0.196)

(0.179)

(0.198)

(0.23)

(0.2)

(0.219)

 Constant

− 0.002

− 0.003*

− 0.003*

− 0.003

− 0.004*

− 0.002

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

 No. of obs.

791

791

791

790

782

749

R2

0.080

0.047

0.050

0.045

0.035

0.021

H0: p-value

0.163

0.281

0.101

0.172

0.133

0.691

Floor period

      

− 0.253*

0.000

− 0.122

− 0.036

− 0.074

− 0.013

 

(0.115)

(0.112)

(0.117)

(0.118)

(0.106)

(0.106)

0.295***

0.234**

0.316*

0.463**

0.468**

0.434***

 

(0.071)

(0.072)

(0.14)

(0.168)

(0.154)

(0.126)

 Constant

0.003*

0.001

0.003*

0.003*

0.003*

0.003*

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.002)

(0.001)

(0.001)

 No. of obs.

645

647

570

639

638

644

R2

0.037

0.030

0.030

0.056

0.050

0.050

H0: p-value

0.000

0.095

0.030

0.031

0.010

0.015

NIR period

      

0.837**

0.744**

0.594*

0.420*

0.464*

0.564*

 

(0.321)

(0.251)

(0.232)

(0.202)

(0.210)

(0.252)

0.397**

0.671**

0.526**

0.390*

0.417*

0.398

 

(0.129)

(0.241)

(0.190)

(0.161)

(0.185)

(0.212)

 Constant

0.001

0.001

0.001

0.001

0.001

0.001

 

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

(0.002)

 No. of obs.

444

444

444

444

444

444

R2

0.198

0.238

0.139

0.077

0.068

0.076

H0: p-value

0.235

0.848

0.835

0.915

0.876

0.642

  1. Robust standard errors in parentheses
  2. Statistical significance indicated with *** if p<0.001, ** if p<0.01, and * if p<0.05
  3. rt denotes the Swiss franc 3-month OIS
  4. H0:β1=β2 in regression (1)