|
1800–2017
|
1800–1907
|
1907–2017
|
---|
E[ψ|y]
|
0.44
|
0.28
|
0.63
|
\(\sqrt {var[\psi |\mathbf {y}]}\)
|
0.06
|
0.10
|
0.10
|
P[ψ>0|y]
|
1.00
|
0.99
|
1.00
|
- Posterior moments of the MA parameter ψ. The table gives the posterior mean, standard deviation, and the posterior probability that the coefficient is larger than zero