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Table 2 Harmonizing assumptions

From: Multi-model comparison of Swiss decarbonization scenarios

  2010 2020 2035 2050 Reference
Population (million) 7.8 8.7 9.8 10.3 BFS Scenario A-00-2015 (BFS 2015)
Working population (million full time eq.) 3.85 4.31 4.58 4.63 BFS Scenario A-00-2015 (BFS 2015)
Oil price (2010$/barrel) 78 105 120 129 4DS scenario, IEA (2015)
Gas price (2010$/MBtu) 7.5 10.4 11.7 12.4 4DS scenario, IEA (2015)
Cooling degree days a 120   235 280 “Klima Waermer” scenario, Prognos (2012) pp. 80-81
Heating degree days a 3586   3002 2831 “Klima Waermer” scenario, Prognos (2012) pp. 80-81
Cap on emissions from ETS sectors (relative to 2013) b   0.88 0.68 0.52 EU ETS yearly reduction
  1. aUnderlying assumption for 2035: a temperature increase in the winter months September–May of 1C and in the summer months June–August of 2 C; for 2050: a temperature increase in the winter months October–April of 1.5 C, in the summer months June–August of 2.5 C, and in May and September of 2 C
  2. bThe cap is used in all scenarios except those with an economy-wide tax (1.5_uni and 1.0_uni). The cap is computed using a yearly reduction factor of 1.74% used in the EU ETS until 2020