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Table 2 Harmonizing assumptions and CO2 targets

From: Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies

 

2010

2020

2035

2050

Reference

Harmonizing assumptions

Population (million)

7.8

8.7

9.8

10.3

BFS Scenario A-00-2015 (BFS, 2015)

Working population (million full time eq.)

3.85

4.31

4.58

4.63

BFS Scenario A-00-2015 (BFS, 2015)

Cap on emissions from ETS sectors (relative to 2013)a

 

0.88

0.68

0.52

EU ETS yearly reduction

CO2 targets

  

1.5 tCO 2e target

1

0.849

0.571

0.284

SEMP (Landis et al., 2019)

1.0 tCO 2e target

1

0.824

0.510

0.189

SEMP (Landis et al., 2019)

BAU scenario

Potential GDP (rel. to 2010)

1

1.18

1.43

1.66

SECO 2015b

Total energy use (rel. to 2010)

1

0.94

0.84

0.78

BAU scenario, Prognos (2012)

CO2 tax heating fuels (CHF/tCO2)

36

120

120

120

CO2 Levy (Swiss Federal Council, 2013)

CO2 tax transport fuels (CHF/tCO2)

0

0

0

0

CO2 Levy (Swiss Federal Council, 2013)

  1. aThe cap is computed using a yearly reduction factor of 1.74% used in the EU ETS until 2020
  2. bData provided by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economics Affairs (SECO)