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Table 6 Direct deaths (infections until September 1)

From: Saving lives during the COVID-19 pandemic: the benefits of the first Swiss lockdown

   SIR model SIRDC model
Age Pop Cases IFRa Deaths Cases IFRa Deaths
0–9 871,211 712,403 0.0000% 0 172,233 0.0000% 0
10–19 844,092 690,167 0.0000% 0 166,857 0.0000% 0
20–29 1,045,160 854,592 0.0000% 0 206,098 0.0000% 0
30–39 1,228,988 1,004,847 0.0158% 159 242,444 0.0158% 38
40–49 1,198,240 979,793 0.0108% 106 236,544 0.0108% 26
50–64 1,810,157 1,480,214 0.1682% 2490 345,460 0.1682% 581
65–79 1,152,223 942,376 3.0574% 28,812 162,498 3.0574% 4968
80+ 453,828 371,150 9.1148% 33,830 64,411 9.1148% 5871
Total 8,603,899 7,035,542   65,397 1,596,545   11,484
  1. Note: This table reports the number of direct deaths predicted according to both a basic SIR model and our SIRDC model accounting for seasonality and endogenous behavioral responses. For each model, the table displays the estimated number of infections in each age group and the corresponding number of direct fatalities, as well as the imputed infection fatality rate used for the computation