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Table 7 Overflow deaths (infections until September 1)

From: Saving lives during the COVID-19 pandemic: the benefits of the first Swiss lockdown

  SIR model SIRDC model
Age Hospital ICU Total Hospital ICU Total
0–9 772 256 1,028 0 19 19
10–19 140 57 197 0 4 4
20–29 799 194 993 0 14 14
30–39 967 669 1636 0 49 49
40–49 1549 889 2438 0 66 66
50–64 2856 4743 7599 0 336 336
65–79 16,083 17,888 33,971 0 858 858
80+ 10,729 3680 14,409 0 178 178
Total 33,895 28,376 62,271 0 1524 1524
  1. Note: This table reports the number of deaths due to the shortage of healthcare facilities predicted according to both a basic SIR model and our SIRDC model accounting for seasonality and endogenous behavioral responses. For each model, the table displays separately the number of overflow deaths which can be attributed to the lack of hospital (but not ICU) beds and to the lack of ICU beds