Table 8 Estimated number of saved lives (by September 1)
From: Saving lives during the COVID-19 pandemic: the benefits of the first Swiss lockdown
SIR model | SIRDC model | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | Direct | Overflow | Excess | Direct | Overflow | Excess | |
0–9 | 1 | 0 | 1028 | 1027 | 0 | 19 | 18 |
10–19 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 197 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
20–29 | 0 | 0 | 993 | 993 | 0 | 14 | 14 |
30–39 | 5 | 159 | 1636 | 1790 | 38 | 49 | 82 |
40–49 | 6 | 106 | 2438 | 2538 | 26 | 66 | 86 |
50–64 | 90 | 2490 | 7599 | 9999 | 581 | 336 | 827 |
65–79 | 455 | 28,812 | 33,971 | 62,328 | 4968 | 858 | 5371 |
80+ | 1215 | 33,830 | 14,409 | 47,024 | 5871 | 178 | 4834 |
Total | 1772 | 65,397 | 62,271 | 125,896 | 11,484 | 1524 | 11,236 |