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Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Fig. 3 | Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics

Fig. 3

From: Covid-19 outbreak and beyond: a retrospect on the information content of short-time workers for GDP now- and forecasting

Fig. 3

Time series vintages. a Short-time workers. Monthly frequency, logarithmic scale, observed up to March for forecasting start date 2020Q1-M4 (end April) and end of quarter’s second month for all other forecasting start dates. b Log real GDP, quarterly frequency, observed up to the lagged quarter of the forecasting start date (also 2019Q4 for start date 2020Q1-M4). Notes: Short-time workers, concatenated data: Published pdf-file (https://www.seco.admin.ch/seco/de/home/Arbeit/Arbeitslosenversicherung/leistungen/kurzarbeitsentschaedigung.html) as of May 1, 2020, January 2000–December 2003; download (https://www.amstat.ch/MicroStrategy/servlet/mstrWeb) as of May 25, 2022, January 2004 to February 2022. Vintages constructed from April 2020 to April 2022 using data on short-time workers with settled payments after one to seven months following the settlement period. GDP growth: Download (https://www.seco.admin.ch/seco/de/home/wirtschaftslage—wirtschaftspolitik/Wirtschaftslage/bip-quartalsschaetzungen-/concepts–en–.html) as of May 28, 2022

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