Skip to main content

Table 7 In this table, we summarize the OLS regression results for the best models from Tables 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 for each subperiod

From: Regime-dependent drivers of the EUR/CHF exchange rate

 

Best models per subperiod

Dependent variable:

EUR/CHF

EUR/CHF

EUR/CHF

Latent

EUR/CHF

Subperiod

pre-crisis

crisis

peg

peg

post-peg

Constant

0.027

− 0.859***

− 0.060

− 0.101

0.025

 

(0.762)

(0.001)

(0.455)

(0.823)

(0.847)

FCI

    

0.511***

     

(0.00000)

CHFEUR1m

  

− 0.114***

− 0.582**

 
   

(0.009)

(0.024)

 

CHFEUR30y

    

− 0.240**

     

(0.012)

CHFUSD1m

− 0.150*

    
 

(0.093)

    

CHFUSD10y2y

 

− 0.608***

   
  

(0.004)

   

DAX

0.124**

− 0.918***

 

0.840

 
 

(0.014)

(0.009)

 

(0.118)

 

SMI

    

− 0.285***

     

(0.008)

VSMI

 

− 1.016***

   
  

(0.00003)

   

Observations

93

43

38

38

70

\(R^{2}\)

0.060

0.257

0.042

0.097

0.269

Adjusted \(R^{2}\)

0.039

0.200

0.016

0.045

0.236

  1. p values (in parentheses) and corresponding significance stars are based on Newey–West adjusted standard errors with 6 lags, where the lag order was determined based on a full-sample analysis
  2. *\(p<0.1\); **\(p<0.05\); ***\(p<0.01\)