Open Access

Test of fiscal sustainability and causality hypotheses for Switzerland

  • Silika Prohl1
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics2010146:BF03399324

Published: 11 January 2010


This paper examines the causality between the Swiss federal governments revenue and expenditure over the 1900 to 2002 period by estimating the short- and long-run relation within an error-correction approach that places more emphasis on the long-run relation as a source of the causal link. The results suggest both that the fiscal policy is consistent with the governmental budget constraint — revenue and expenditure are cointegrated, and revenue cause expenditure and vice versa. There is also evidence that World War II had a significant impact on the stability of the cointegrating relation between revenue and expenditure.




Budget DeficitCointegration