Fig. 7From: COVID-19 outbreak and beyond: the information content of registered short-time workers for GDP now- and forecastingOut-of-sample GDP forecast, mean level forecast with 95% highest forecast density interval in gray. Sample period: second quarter 2001–third quarter 2008. Model estimated using as prior information posterior moments obtained for the long-sample estimate. Forecast period: fourth quarter 2008–third quarter 2010. Gray bars highlight the financial crisis and the introduction of the euro-Swiss franc floorBack to article page