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Table 6 OLS estimates for the impact of curfews (compared to contact restrictions) 35 days after the imposition of curfews with fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants as outcome variable

From: Timing matters: the impact of response measures on COVID-19-related hospitalization and death rates in Germany and Switzerland

  Estimate Standard error
Intercept −0.5481 0.5532
Curfew 0.089 0.1081
Share of population aged 65+ −5.6962 2.9762
Income per capita: 0–27,934 −0.0998 0.1872
Income per capita: 27,935–33,109 −0.0444 0.1598
Income per capita: 33,110–40,506 −0.056 0.1298
Population density: 0–117.3 0.0077 0.1547
Population density: 117.3–206.7 0.1532 0.1558
Population density: 206.7–779.7 0.0388 0.1315
Population: 0–105,878 0.1964 0.1917
Population: 105,879–158,080 0.1198 0.1565
Population: 158,080–251,534 −0.048 0.1067
Share of confirmed infections aged 80+ 0.6616 2.0497
80+ mortality rate (per 1000 inhabitants), 2017 0.2029 0.0692
Share of respiratory disease-related deaths, 2016 3.5314 3.6582
Hospital beds per 1000 inhabitants −0.0201 0.016
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 10 days before curfew −4.3731 4.1915
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 5 days before curfew −2.7013 3.4591
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 4 days before curfew 1.3937 3.7116
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 3 days before curfew −2.8829 3.6353
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 2 days before curfew 5.058 2.5642
Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 Inhabitants 1 day before curfew 2.1268 2.1477
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 25 days before curfew 2.478 4.2755
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 20 days before curfew 0.9095 1.5009
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 15 days before curfew 0.0804 0.4324
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 10 days before curfew −0.3862 0.2614
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 5 days before curfew 0.0339 0.2059
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 4 days before curfew −0.3237 0.3682
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 3 days before curfew 0.1382 0.3992
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 2 days before curfew −0.148 0.2767
Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 1 day before curfew 0.3193 0.2064
Initial growth trend for confirmed cases in log points 0.0158 0.0264
Recommendation against events with > 1000 visitors 0.2291 0.075
Ban of events with > 1000 visitors 0.6488 0.1937
Ban of groups of > 5 persons (prior to contact ban/curfew) 0.1391 0.1265
Permission to meet with 1 non-household member −0.1802 0.1271
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