Table 6 OLS estimates for the impact of curfews (compared to contact restrictions) 35 days after the imposition of curfews with fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants as outcome variable

Intercept

−0.5481

0.5532

Curfew

0.089

0.1081

Share of population aged 65+

−5.6962

2.9762

Income per capita: 0–27,934

−0.0998

0.1872

Income per capita: 27,935–33,109

−0.0444

0.1598

Income per capita: 33,110–40,506

−0.056

0.1298

Population density: 0–117.3

0.0077

0.1547

Population density: 117.3–206.7

0.1532

0.1558

Population density: 206.7–779.7

0.0388

0.1315

Population: 0–105,878

0.1964

0.1917

Population: 105,879–158,080

0.1198

0.1565

Population: 158,080–251,534

−0.048

0.1067

Share of confirmed infections aged 80+

0.6616

2.0497

80+ mortality rate (per 1000 inhabitants), 2017

0.2029

0.0692

Share of respiratory disease-related deaths, 2016

3.5314

3.6582

Hospital beds per 1000 inhabitants

−0.0201

0.016

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 10 days before curfew

−4.3731

4.1915

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 5 days before curfew

−2.7013

3.4591

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 4 days before curfew

1.3937

3.7116

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 3 days before curfew

−2.8829

3.6353

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 inhabitants 2 days before curfew

5.058

2.5642

Confirmed fatalities per 10,000 Inhabitants 1 day before curfew

2.1268

2.1477

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 25 days before curfew

2.478

4.2755

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 20 days before curfew

0.9095

1.5009

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 15 days before curfew

0.0804

0.4324

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 10 days before curfew

−0.3862

0.2614

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 5 days before curfew

0.0339

0.2059

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 4 days before curfew

−0.3237

0.3682

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 3 days before curfew

0.1382

0.3992

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 2 days before curfew

−0.148

0.2767

Confirmed cases per 10,000 inhabitants 1 day before curfew

0.3193

0.2064

Initial growth trend for confirmed cases in log points

0.0158

0.0264

Recommendation against events with > 1000 visitors

0.2291

0.075

Ban of events with > 1000 visitors

0.6488

0.1937

Ban of groups of > 5 persons (prior to contact ban/curfew)

0.1391

0.1265

Permission to meet with 1 non-household member

−0.1802

0.1271