Table 1 Yearly GDP growth forecasts and releases

State Secretariat of Economic Affairs (2020a-2020e, 2021a-2021d, 2022), real time

19/03/20

− 1.3

3.3

11/03/21

3.2

3.5

23/04/20

− 6.7

5.2

16/06/20

− 6.2

5.3

15/06/21

3.8

3.5

12/10/20

− 3.8

4.2

16/09/21

3.4

3.2

15/12/20

− 3.3

3.2

3.3

09/12/21

3.5

3.2

1.7

14/03/22

3.0

1.7

KOF Swiss Economic Institute (2020a-2020e, 2021a-2021d, 2022), real time

17/03/20

0.3

1.4

25/03/21

3.0

2.8

15/05/20

− 5.5

5.4

16/06/20

− 5.1

4.3

22/06/21

4.0

2.8

22/10/20

− 3.6

3.2

2.4

06/10/21

3.2

3.6

1.5

15/12/20

− 3.5

3.2

2.6

16/12/21

3.6

3.0

2.1

23/03/22

3.0

2.0

KA20, real-time, pre-registered data

30/04/20

− 4.1

2.7

(− 6.5,− 1.5)

(− 0.1,5.4)

Short-time workers model, Equation (3), pseudo-real-time, settled data

30/04/20

− 2.4

1.9

31/03/21

− 3.0

− 0.5

1.7

(− 4.1,− 0.7)

(0.4,3.4)

(− 3.6,2.7)

(− 0.3,3.8)

30/06/20

− 3.2

1.7

30/06/21

− 2.8

1.1

1.3

(− 4.3,− 2.0)

(0.1,3.4)

(− 0.1,2.4)

(− 0.9,3.4)

30/09/20

− 7.8

1.0

30/09/21

− 2.5

3.0

2.2

(− 9.3,− 6.4)

(− 2.3,3.8)

(2.1,3.7)

(0.1,4.6)

31/12/20

− 1.7

4.8

1.4

31/12/21

− 2.5

3.5

2.3

1.9

(− 2.5,− 0.9)

(1.3,8.5)

(− 0.7,3.4)

(3.1,3.8)

(0.0,4.8)

(− 0.2,4.0)

31/03/22

− 2.5

3.7

2.0

1.8

(0.1,4.1)

(− 0.2,4.0)

Federal Statistical Office (2021, 2022), release

26/08/21

− 2.4

30/08/22

4.2